ESSEC METALAB

RESEARCH

BUILDING UP CYBER RESILIENCE BY BETTER GRASPING CYBER RISK VIA A NEW ALGORITHM FOR MODELLING HEAVY-TAILED DATA

[ARTICLE] The authors analyze cyber-attack data using a new algorithm for heavy-tailed data. This method allows researchers to accurately assess risks, compare them to existing models, and potentially classify attacks based on their severity.

by Marie Kratz (ESSEC Business School), Nehla Debbabi, Michel Dacorogna

Cyber security and resilience are major challenges in our modern economies; this is why they are top priorities on the agenda of governments, security and defense forces, management of companies and organizations. Hence, the need of a deep understanding of cyber risks to improve resilience. We propose here an analysis of the database of the cyber complaints filed at the Gendarmerie Nationale. We perform this analysis with a new algorithm developed for non-negative asymmetric heavy-tailed data, which could become a handy tool for applied fields, including operations research. This method gives a good estimation of the full distribution including the tail. Our study confirms the finiteness of the loss expectation, necessary condition for insurability. Finally, we draw the consequences of this model for risk management, compare its results to other standard EVT models, and lay the ground for a classification of attacks based on the fatness of the tail.

[Please read the research paper here]

Research list
arrow-right
Résumé de la politique de confidentialité

Ce site utilise des cookies afin que nous puissions vous fournir la meilleure expérience utilisateur possible. Les informations sur les cookies sont stockées dans votre navigateur et remplissent des fonctions telles que vous reconnaître lorsque vous revenez sur notre site Web et aider notre équipe à comprendre les sections du site que vous trouvez les plus intéressantes et utiles.