DATA AND AI ARE CHANGING THE WAY ORGANIZATIONS THINK, DECIDE, AND ORGANIZE. IT’S TIME HUMANITIES, MANAGEMENT AND SOCIAL SCIENCES GET INVOLVED.
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EVENTS

RESEARCH

A MOM-BASED ENSEMBLE METHOD FOR ROBUSTNESS, SUBSAMPLING AND HYPERPARAMETER TUNING

[ARTICLE] This paper constructs a robust alternative to cross-validation for hyperparameter tuning and model selection using a median-of-means principle.

by Guillaume Lecué (ESSEC Business School), Joon Kwon, Matthieu Lerasle

Hyperparameter tuning and model selection are important steps in machine learning. Unfortunately, classical hyperparameter calibration and model selection procedures are sensitive to outliers and heavy-tailed data. In this work, we construct a selection procedure which can be seen as a robust alternative to cross-validation and is based on a median-of-means principle. Using this procedure, we also build an ensemble method which, trained with algorithms and corrupted heavy-tailed data, selects an algorithm, trains it with a large uncorrupted subsample and automatically tunes its hyperparameters. In particular, the approach can transform any procedure into a robust to outliers and to heavy-tailed data procedure while tuning automatically its hyperparameters.

[Please read the research paper here]

Research list
MULTIVARIATE VOLATILITY FORECASTS FOR STOCK MARKET INDICES

MULTIVARIATE VOLATILITY FORECASTS FOR STOCK MARKET INDICES

[ARTICLE] This study forecasts realized variance for major international stock market indices, incorporating jump, continuous, and option-implied variance components, using ...
DYNAMICS OF VARIANCE RISK PREMIA: A NEW MODEL FOR DISENTANGLING THE PRICE OF RISK

DYNAMICS OF VARIANCE RISK PREMIA: A NEW MODEL FOR DISENTANGLING THE PRICE OF RISK

[ARTICLE] This paper presents a dynamic model for the variance risk premium that separates the continuous component from jump impacts, ...
MINIMUM COST NETWORK DESIGN IN STRATEGIC ALLIANCES

MINIMUM COST NETWORK DESIGN IN STRATEGIC ALLIANCES

[ARTICLE] This paper investigates the impact of transaction costs on the viability of strategic alliances in service network design, highlighting ...
PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING OF BUBBLES AND FLASH CRASHES

PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING OF BUBBLES AND FLASH CRASHES

[ARTICLE] This paper proposes a near explosive random coefficient autoregressive model (NERC) to predict probabilities of bubbles and crashes in ...
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