DATA AND AI ARE CHANGING THE WAY ORGANIZATIONS THINK, DECIDE, AND ORGANIZE. IT’S TIME HUMANITIES, MANAGEMENT AND SOCIAL SCIENCES GET INVOLVED.
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EVENTS

RESEARCH

RANK-DEPENDENT UTILITY UNDER MULTIPLE PRIORS

[ARTICLE] This paper integrates nonlinear risk perception into models of decision-making under ambiguity, using rank-dependent utility to replace maxmin expected utility and highlighting the interaction between risk and ambiguity attitudes.

by Fan WANG (ESSEC Business School)

Nonlinear perception of risk is integrated into models of decision under ambiguity, thereby providing a theoretical basis for behavioral analyses that involve both risk and ambiguity. The main model replaces the risk front of maxmin expected utility by rank-dependent utility, and it is derived from simple, observable axioms that are not restricted to expected utility under risk. The model highlights the interaction between risk attitude and ambiguity attitude, and it is compatible with the paradoxical choices hypothesized by Machina. Following the same idea, nonlinear perception of risk can also be integrated into variational and multiplier preferences. When applied to comparative ambiguity attitudes, the idea enables more comparisons by allowing for both heterogeneous taste and perception of risk.

[Please read the research paper here]

Research list
MULTIVARIATE VOLATILITY FORECASTS FOR STOCK MARKET INDICES

MULTIVARIATE VOLATILITY FORECASTS FOR STOCK MARKET INDICES

[ARTICLE] This study forecasts realized variance for major international stock market indices, incorporating jump, continuous, and option-implied variance components, using ...
DYNAMICS OF VARIANCE RISK PREMIA: A NEW MODEL FOR DISENTANGLING THE PRICE OF RISK

DYNAMICS OF VARIANCE RISK PREMIA: A NEW MODEL FOR DISENTANGLING THE PRICE OF RISK

[ARTICLE] This paper presents a dynamic model for the variance risk premium that separates the continuous component from jump impacts, ...
MINIMUM COST NETWORK DESIGN IN STRATEGIC ALLIANCES

MINIMUM COST NETWORK DESIGN IN STRATEGIC ALLIANCES

[ARTICLE] This paper investigates the impact of transaction costs on the viability of strategic alliances in service network design, highlighting ...
PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING OF BUBBLES AND FLASH CRASHES

PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING OF BUBBLES AND FLASH CRASHES

[ARTICLE] This paper proposes a near explosive random coefficient autoregressive model (NERC) to predict probabilities of bubbles and crashes in ...
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